Custom Bats Cricket Forum
General Cricket => World Cricket => England => Topic started by: WalkingWicket37 on January 30, 2019, 01:44:34 PM
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Cricket365 have cracked the code!
As we all know, you can't argue with stats!
REVEALED: Why Jennings is doomed, but Burns has a chance
Cricket365 can exclusively reveal that Keaton Jennings’ England career was doomed before it had begun.
Not because of that painfully braced front leg, or his point-blank refusal to move his head or feet in the direction of any ball delivered at north of 80mph no matter how full and inevitably nicking off.
We’ve crunched the numbers and the fact is that England’s openers of the last 20-odd years can be split into two groups. One of those groups, collectively, average a very-handy-in-English-conditions 41.54 and have scored mountains of runs. The other group averages 24.65 and between the lot of them have scored fewer Test runs than Mitchell Johnson. Jennings, of course, is in group two and very much on borrowed time, having already somehow managed to cling on longer than any other member of that sorry subset.
The real reason he’s knacked is simple: he’s using the wrong bat. Specifically, he’s not using a Gray-Nicolls or Gunn & Moore bat. The statistical evidence is overwhelming: these are the only acceptable bats for an England opening batsman to use.
Since the start of the summer in 2000 – a point which I think we can all readily agree constitutes roughly the time when cricket began – English openers have scored 85 Test hundreds. On 83 occasions, the bat raised in celebration was emblazoned with either Gray-Nicolls or Gunn & Moore. Fact.
Jennings, to be fair, does account for the other two with his shameful Kookaburra and, insane as it may sound, only five England openers have scored more runs than he’s eked out since our arbitrary yet correct cut-off point. But still. He’s battling here against not only bowlers who know exactly how to get him out, but also the overwhelming weight of history.
It can be no surprise that Rory Burns made a fluent 84 with his Gunn & Moore last week before he and the rest of the lads decided Roston Chase was the world’s greatest bowler.
There are no guarantees for Burns. For every Cook there is a Duckett, for every Trescothick a Lyth. But at least he’s got a chance. Just look at the numbers.
England openers since May 2000 by bat manufacturer:
Gray-Nicolls and Gunn & Moore: 31449 runs @ 41.54, 83 hundreds
All other manufacturers: 1986 runs @ 24.65, 2 hundreds
Compelling. You can’t argue with that. From Carberry’s Kookaburra to Trott’s New Balance, Stoneman’s Kippax to Ramprakash’s Slazenger and even Jack Leach’s beautiful retro Milichamp & Hall, many have tried to overcome the curse of Opening The Batting For England But Not Using A Gray-Nicolls Or Gunn & Moore Bat. None has succeeded, and neither shall Jennings.
https://www.cricket365.com/countries/england/revealed-why-jennings-doomed-burns-has-chance/ (https://www.cricket365.com/countries/england/revealed-why-jennings-doomed-burns-has-chance/)
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Haha, isn't Joe Denly a Kookaburra man now? :(
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SF
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Haha, isn't Joe Denly a Kookaburra man now? :(
Last time I seen him he was using SF
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Saw that earlier today and very interesting. So theoretical all the selectors need in future when picking openers is a list of players aponsored by GN and GM
I have asked if they could do a similar analysis for other test nations to see what works for them.
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Alex Davies,
we love a keeper in the england team ;)
sponsored by GM
GET HIM IN
other openers sponsored by GM or GN:
Sam Robson
Nick Browne
Ben Slater
Haseeb Hameed
Chris Nash
ALex hales
thats just off the top of my head im sure theres more!
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Saw that earlier today and very interesting. So theoretical all the selectors need in future when picking openers is a list of players aponsored by GN and GM
I have asked if they could do a similar analysis for other test nations to see what works for them.
Australia might be very GN heavy
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Alex Davies,
we love a keeper in the england team ;)
sponsored by GM
GET HIM IN
other openers sponsored by GM or GN:
Sam Robson
Nick Browne
Ben Slater
Haseeb Hameed
Chris Nash
ALex hales
thats just off the top of my head im sure theres more!
There’s an absolute stack but this is more for a whatsapp convo between you and I 😂
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There’s an absolute stack but this is more for a whatsapp convo between you and I 😂
You’re on!
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Great article and find.
Can someone remind me whats wrong with Sam Robson? I remember them begging him to be English and replacing Carberry and he didnt do well enough to stay but i don't remember him being that bad.
Sometimes i wondered if that was why they picked Carberry knowing sam was coming.
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Robson came at a time when expectations were somewhat higher than they are now. He had a problem outside off stump but averaged 30 which is better than much that has followed. He at his turn when we were looking for a replacement for Strauss whereas now we are simply looking for someone who looks like a cricketer and can get through a test match without embarrassing themselves
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Robson's form in county cricket has been very patchy.
Add Dom Sibley to the GN list.
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Marcus Trescothick was always entirely happy with his Gunn and Moores, I've been told. I'm pretty sure other forum regulars would have been told this too. ;)
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Marcus Trescothick was always entirely happy with his Gunn and Moores, I've been told. I'm pretty sure other forum regulars would have bee too. ;)
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Mine are great mate, really pleased with what I picked up from the factory.
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Mine are great mate, really pleased with what I picked up from the factory.
I am sure they are. The anecdote was about a successful former England Test opener.
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Surely that is the ultimate test of this isn't it? Trescothick scores loads opening with his trusty GM. But is now sponsored by GN, so I say stick him in and test the theory!
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Trusty GM/ trusty 'GM'.
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Robson came at a time when expectations were somewhat higher than they are now. He had a problem outside off stump but averaged 30 which is better than much that has followed. He at his turn when we were looking for a replacement for Strauss whereas now we are simply looking for someone who looks like a cricketer and can get through a test match without embarrassing themselves
That series against India, Robson got a couple of shocking lbw decisions that would have easily been overturned if India had accepted ball tracking in DRS, though snicko/hot-spot would have saved him the one he smashed into his pad at Trent Bridge.