They won't drop any of the experienced players and Cook will continue as captain, at least until the end of the India series, which we could win and Cook marches on. He's not a natural leader, no shame in that, and is in his most horrible run of form since Pakistan 2010. All things being equal I'd go with form is temporary, class is permanent, but there's something about the captaincy that does for English batsmen - Vaughan, Strauss, now Cook. Maybe they need to look at the extra stuff they do - the PR, peripheral stuff that means the skippers not focusing on his actual job. As an opening bat I'd be fuming with the number of interviews before an innings - and I don't play in front of millions of people...
There's no alternative as captain. All those in the game suggest that Prior needs to concentrate on keeping and Bell on batting. Anderson and Broad won't play every test against India, so they're out as well. For all the promise of Root and Ballance they don't possess anywhere near the mental strength of, say, Graeme Smith to captain so young.
Its also worth remembering that you need experience with the inconsistency of youth. Robson, Root, Ballance, Root - one big innings, Jordan - tailed off in a two-test series. There will be ups and downs with them, but the selectors will stick with them - a revolving door policy doesn't help anyone. Do they know their best side? No. Will they adopt a horses for courses approach to accommodate a couple of all rounders? Probably, yes.
First test is Trent Bridge - you have to play Anderson and Broad there. I'd go with;
Cook
Robson
Ballance
Bell
Root
Ali
Stokes
Prior
Plunkett
Broad
Anderson
Stokes edges out Jordan as he seems to be bowling well (7-fer) and offers more than Jordan with the bat.