It is a road but using Boycotts' well-worn phrase of waiting til both sides have batted is too simplistic. You have to take into account the scoreboard pressure and that Pakistan know how to win regularly on this pitch - e.g. Australia and NZ.
I fully expect England to score less than 350 and Pakistan to win the test by over 200 runs. That's being realistic. We don't have top quality spinners and now our quicks are shattered they're bowling down on pace and accuracy.
Our spinners have been trying to find the right pace and flight (or lack of) for this surface whereas Babar will get straight into a rhythm. We will face better, more consistent bowling than Pakistan have. Batting first on these types of tracks is everything. Asian teams playing against each other turn these types of pitches into 550 vs 600, then 200-1, match drawn. Australia and New Zealand showed that if you're not familiar with the pitches and conditions, you'll struggle.
Everyone makes good points, I'm just trying to manage expectations