Yep , i think you're right .
The only possible changes are cartwright/ m.marsh for maxwell ( i think maxwell will stay , although cartwright could come in at sydney allowing us to drop a paceman for agar ), and one could make a claim for nevill taking over from wade . Wade has been very poor with the bat since his return whereas nevill has been in good nick .
But , the xl for brisbane will likely be : Renshaw, warner , khawaja, smith, handsomb, maxwell, wade, starc, cummins, lyon, hazlewood.
Pretty much settled unless someone has a freakishly good/bad start to the shield season .
Having said that , the xl's I'd like to see are :
Brisbane: Renshaw, warner, khawaja, smith, handsomb, maxwell, carey, starc, cummins, lyon, hazlewood
Adelaide : Renshaw, warner, khawaja, smith, handsomb, maxwell, carey, Pattinson, starc, cummins, hazlewood
Perth : same as Adelaide
Melbourne : same as brisbane
Sydney : Renshaw, warner , khawaja, smith, handsomb, wade, agar, pattinson, starc,cummins, lyon,
Basically , brisbane and Melbourne we go with 3 pace/1 spin/1 part time spin attack. Adelaide and perth we go a 4 man pace attack. Sydney we go 2 proper spinners with 3 proper pacers ... we bolster the batting by selecting the 3 pacers who bat best , our (theoretically ) best keeper batsman and a spinner who can bat 7 .
Obviously , most of this would never happen...particularly the selection of carey as keeper .