Like all top level cricket, its small margins that can make big differences. SA aren't that bad or England that good. The trick for England is to play at the same level and for SA to show some of their batting ability. If England keep SA under the thumb then they will win in Cape Town and go on to win the series. However, SA can probably get a lot better and I'm expecting a much tougher game. Like in 2004 when England toured, SA started with the wrong team and came back strongly then.
Anderson is key imho, him getting through the top order and putting pressure on amla/ab will set things up. Woakes bowled OK but didn't look like running through SA. England have one massive advantage, a fifth bowler. If they can keep SA in the field and soak up overs then its very difficult to keep pressure on the England batsman. England can fiddle around and bowl in short higher intensity bursts until they find an opening. SA have to bowl longer spells and manage workload. The big risk is if England milk the spinner, SA are bowling part timers from then on. I think there is a general trend in world cricket towards five man attacks for this reason. When even Australia are playing 5 bowlers you know something is changing.
Sent from my Lenovo B6000-F using Tapatalk