Back on cricketing terms, I'm really not sure that Australia are as good as they think they are. Other than Smith/Warner, their batting line-up is relatively weak in comparison to ours... I think we have a decent chance out there.
renshaw , and in particular, khawaja and handscomb will make plenty of runs on home wickets.....i said it before - english supporters will see the arrival of handscomb as a test batsman of much merit.
Having said that , the batting lineups could be quite evenly matched still. cook, root , bairstow , ali , woakes , possibly stokes vs renshaw, warner , smith , khawaja , handsomb is pretty even . the aussies have home wickets on our side . poms have possibly one more batsman of note (and a deeper batting order , period ) in your favour.
the deciding factor could well be the bowling attacks. I think woakes , anderson will have moments of effectiveness aswell as getting pasted when using the old ball unless it reverses. broad , stokes , finn (dont know much about overton etc ) can be more effective more often if they bowl aussie lengths. ali should have a similar effectiveness to lyon provided he stays didiplined. however , i think starc , Hazelwood and cummins should regularly outbowl the english seamers, thus allowing aussie ashes victory.....unless more than one of them get injured ( with pattinson out , we only have coulter nile and behrendoff in reserve ....i dont think bird or sayers would have much impact tbh).